June 4, 2019

Investors Stampede Into Gold as Top ETF Jumps Most Since `16

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-04/investors-stampede-into-gold-as-top-etf-swells-most-since-2016

The biggest bullion-backed exchange-traded fund is suddenly getting a lot of love. Holdings in SPDR Gold Shares surged by the most in almost three years as the U.S.-China trade war, signs of a slowdown, and speculation the Federal Reserve will cut rates combined to fan demand.

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Assets in the SPDR ETF jumped 16.44 metric tons, or 2.2%, on Monday to post the biggest gain since July 2016, while a tally of holdings in all ETFs saw the biggest increase this year. The swing toward the traditional haven came as gold prices surged above $1,300 an ounce to hit the highest since February.

Gold’s had a lackluster year so far even as trade war concerns flared, with Fed policy makers signalling rates were on hold and the dollar gaining ground in the four months to May. Still on Monday, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard weighed in, saying a cut may be warranted soon, and markets are now discounting at least two quarter-point reductions by year-end. Bullion, which doesn’t bear yields, tends to benefit from a low-rate environment.

“Gold is once again trying to reclaim its role as a safe haven amid growing trade tensions and consequent risks to growth,” Joni Teves, a strategist at UBS Group AG, said in a note on Monday. The price “looks like it is getting comfortable above $1,300, with aspirations of testing this year’s highs.”

On Tuesday, there were more signs of macro weakness from across Asia as revised data showed South Korea’s economy shrank 0.4% in the first quarter, the worst performance since the financial crisis, while the purchasing managers index in trade-dependent Singapore dropped below 50.

Spot gold was steady at $1,326.21 an ounce at 7:49 a.m. in London.

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May 2, 2019

What Makes My Silver Eagles Worth Money?

https://coinweek.com/bullion-report/what-makes-my-silver-eagles-worth-money/

 

Silver Eagles, just like any other coin, vary wildly in value.

Some can be worth as little as a few dollars over the spot value of silver, while others go for five figures! As a collector or investor of modern rare coins, it is important to understand where the value comes from and what makes a coin worth its weight in silver and what makes another worth big money…

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There are various factors that affect the value of an American Silver Eagle. First and foremost, the mintage of the coin is very important.

Naturally, the lower the original mintage of a Silver Eagle, the more scarce that particular coin is.

The lowest mintage in the Mint State Silver Eagle series used to be the 1996 Silver Eagle at only 3,603,386. However, in 2018, savvy collectors discovered that roughly 79,000 coins had been minted in 2015 at the Philadelphia Mint.

Collectors realized that there were differences in Silver Eagle Monster Box packaging as well as varying serial number variations on the boxes. This led to an inquiry to determine if coins were being minted at mints other than the West Point Mint. The U.S. Mint shortly thereafter admitted that roughly 79,000 coins had indeed been minted at Philadelphia. Therefore, the 2015(P) American Silver Eagle took the spot as the lowest mint state American Silver Eagle ever.

However, if you accumulate the total mintage from all mint locations in 2015, then the 1996 would still be the lowest mintage ever in the series.
Condition

A second factor that makes a Mint State American Silver Eagle rare is the condition.

Raw coins typically trade for less than a certified 69 or a perfect grade 70 coin would. Collectors like to know and have peace of mind that a third party has certified the coin. The grading typically takes the guess-work out of what grade the coin could be. The higher the grade, the more valuable the coin actually is.

Naturally, there are only a few perfect grade 70 coins and many collectors are chasing them for their sets. This pushes up the prices of these perfect grade 70s. The most expensive Mint State 70 American Silver Eagle is the 1999.

The 1999 was not the lowest mintage by any means but is worth so much because there are so few graded in perfect 70.

According to NGC as of April 10, 2019, there are only 248 graded and the piece is valued at $23,000! Furthermore, 1999 is one of the years where very few coins were minted well and even developed “milky spots,” which prevent the coins from grading in perfect 70. “Milky spots” are white spots that develop on coins after they leave the U.S. Mint facility. The Mint has tried to address the issue but has not yet completely solved it. Often you will hear collectors of American Silver Eagles asking whether or not a perfect 70 grade is clean with no spots. Currently, milky spots on American Silver Eagles can significantly devalue the coin in comparison to spot free coins.

Another major issue with the American Silver Eagle is toning. Once again, toning develops over time and typically happens when coins are not stored properly or are exposed to natural elements. There are two different types of toning that can develop: attractive toning (rainbow, gold, etc.) or unattractive toning (brown, black). American Silver Eagles with natural, attractive toning often trade for high premiums, while unattractive toned American Silver Eagles will trade for substantial discounts.

Time Value

A third factor that affects the value of an American Silver Eagle is the time value associated with a particular coin. The older the coin, the more time value that is attributed to the coin. Time value is important but is not always as cut and dry as one would believe. Sometimes, age makes a coin more valuable than its younger counterparts, but this is not always the case. For instance, a 1986 Silver Eagle NGC MS70 is worth less than a 1999 Silver Eagle NGC MS70, even though the 1999 is not as old. One should look to the first factor of mintage to help understand why the 1999 is worth more than the 1986.

Supply and Demand

Another factor to consider is sheer supply and demand.

The more collectors that want a particular piece, then the more valuable a coin typically becomes. Often, new-issue American Silver Eagles will rise in price while there is a tremendous demand for them and then later come back to reality once the rush is over. Nevertheless, there are cases where the coins will continue to increase in price because there is so much demand and not enough supply. An example of this is the 2017-S Proof Silver Eagle.

Conclusion

Although these four factors are not the only factors that drive the value of Silver Eagles, they certainly serve as some of the major ones. Hopefully, these insights provide coin collectors a base knowledge of how to value a Silver Eagle.

March 19, 2019

Gold Prices Edge Higher, Eyeing Fed Meeting; Palladium Hits Record

Investing.com – Gold prices edged higher, buoyed by expectations the Federal Reserve will send markets a more dovish message about future monetary policy after the two-day policy meeting that starts later on Tuesday.

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Comex gold futures rose $7.75, or around 0.6%, to $1,309.25 a troy ounce by 8:25AM ET (12:25 GMT).

Meanwhile, spot gold was trading at $1,309.43 per ounce, up $5.75, or 0.45%.

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day policy meeting later Tuesday, with a decision on interest rates due Wednesday afternoon.

The U.S. central bank will also release new forecasts for economic growth and interest rates, known as the “dot-plot”, which many analysts say will probably point to at most one more interest rate hike this year. The Fed has already signaled that it’s extremely unlikely to raise rates again in the near term, after four hikes in 2018.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was a shade lower at 95.85, hovering close to a two-week low.

“The dollar is under a little bit of pressure, providing some support to the metal,” Capital Economics analyst Ross Strachan said.

In other metals trading, palladium prices hit their highest levels on record following news that Russia is planning to ban exports of precious metals scrap.

Spot palladium was up 1.4% at $1,599.11 an ounce, having hit a record high of $1,601.45 earlier in the session.

“There have been rumors that Russia would restrict exports of some scrap materials. When the market is as tight as palladium is, sometimes such news can take on more significance than it should,” said Philip Newman, a director at Metals Focus.

Russia is a major producer of palladium, which is used mainly in catalytic converters for cars with gasoline engines. Demand for palladium has increased as diesel engines have lost market share in response to public concerns about air quality.

Elsewhere, silver futures tacked on 10.6 cents, or about 0.7%, to trade at $15.42 a troy ounce, while platinum gained 1.7% to $848.10 an ounce.

January 22, 2019

Billionaire Coin Collectors Competing for “Best of Breed” Coin Sets

http://coinagemag.com/billionaire-coin-collectors-competing-for-best-of-breed-coin-sets/

An old adage is that coin collecting is “The Hobby of Kings,” since only kings could afford or have the power to seize the top quality rare coins made of precious metals. Today, that slogan has changed to become “The Collector is King,” with the serious collector of rare coins driving up prices.

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In more recent times, celebrities such as Wayne Gretzky, Buddy Ebsen (1908-2003), Penny Marshall and Jerry Buss (1933-2013) have collected rare coins, but collectors such as the American financier Louis Eliasberg (1896-1976) have set the standard for a lifetime devoted to serious collecting of the best-known specimens of U.S. coins.

With the rapid growth of global wealth since the end of the Cold War, the annual Forbes census of global billionaires has grown from 140 in 1987 to 2,208 in March 2018. Out of 2,208 billionaires, it stands to reason that at least 1% of them would become fascinated by “The Hobby of Kings.” And so I bring it to your attention that four billionaires, including real estate guru Dell Loy Hansen, are currently competing for high-quality rare coins in the coin market. Hansen earlier this year bought the “Hall of Fame Collection,” the famed Liberty Seated dollar set that had been carefully put together by Bruce Morelan, who himself was the subject of much fanfare when he purchased the phenomenal 1794 Specimen Flowing Hair Dollar at auction for over $10 million ($10,106,875 to be exact). It included coins previously residing in famous collections, including those of Amon Carter and the Garrett family.

These ultra-high-net-worth business owners didn’t get to where they are by being passive. They are well-informed, highly competitive, goal-oriented collector-investors. At least two of them are trying to do what Eliasberg did and build complete sets of every coin from the U.S. Mint in as high a grade as possible.

This competition for high-end coins will fuel a resurgence in demand for all coins that trade from about $25,000 and up. Besides these few billionaires bidding for best of breed coins, other prominent collectors are building registry sets with either PCGS or NGC coins for “top of pop”– the highest graded coins according to the lists generated by PCGS and NGC of coins they certified.

Many of these collectors want their coins to be verified by the Certified Acceptance Corporation (CAC) as well. CAC is a verification service that affixes green holographic stickers on the grading service holders of PCGS- and NGC-certified coins that meet its standard for “solid for the grade.” Certified coins that “exceed” CAC’s standard receive a gold CAC holographic sticker. The service was founded by John Albanese, who is its chief verifier. Albanese founded NGC and was one of the original PCGS partners.

We have already seen examples of how mid-range rarities have been actively bid up by multiples of their expected price at auction. Recent auctions have seen coins such as a Booker T. Washington (BTW) commemorative half dollar in MS-67+ bring substantially more than what experts expected the coin to realize, due to there being only a few existing in that grade and none finer. One example was a CAC 1951-S BTW half dollar graded by PCGS as MS-67+. The coin was listed at $2,600 in PCGS’s price guide, but it brought nearly five times as much, $12,500, in a Great Collections Auction in which 48 bidders participated. It had a graded population of only three, with none finer. Also bringing higher-than-expected auction prices are beautifully toned commemoratives and Morgan dollars. But be careful. One collector’s beautiful toning is another collector’s “nice, but not worth the premium” coin. There is a more subjective element to value with toned coins.

Some Billionaires are Also Buying Gold Bullion
Gold is up 1.5% through May 4, while the Dow stocks are down 1.85%. So gold is still beating stocks in 2018, and many stock market investors are getting nervous, as the historically “best” month of April was flat, and the historically worst six months for stocks (May to October) are just beginning.

With the stock market flat and in danger of falling below its key 200-day moving average, and with interest rates rising (and bond prices falling), and currencies in flux, international billionaires are looking to the time-tested value of gold for wealth preservation. Last week, Naguib Sawiris, the second richest man in Egypt (second only to his brother), the chairman of Orascom Telecom Media and Technology Holding S.A.E, told Bloomberg that he sees gold heading for $1,800 per ounce, while the “overvalued” stock market will likely collapse. Sawiris said he is putting half of his $5.7 billion net worth into gold.

Other billionaire investors are concerned about the market and are moving to gold. Jeffrey Gundlach, founder of DoubleLine Capital, sees the “explosive, potential energy” of a massively bullish $1,000 gain for gold to the $2,300 region, based on a technical base-building platform. “Gold is maintaining an upward pattern above its rising 200-day moving average, which is extremely good,” said this guru nicknamed the “Bond King.” “I’m not predicting it … I’m letting the market prove itself.”

November 8, 2018

Collecting Strategies: Transitional Gold Coins

https://coinweek.com/coins/coin-collecting-strategies-2/a-collection-of-transitional-gold-coins/

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By Doug Winter

I am often asked for ideas about which US gold coins to collect, especially ones that are a little bit “out of the box.” I recently had a conversation with a long-time collector about new directions for his set and we discussed the possibility of starting a transitional set of 19th century American gold coins.

By transitional gold coins, I am referring to a coin that was struck as two different types during the same year. An example of this would be an 1854 gold dollar from Philadelphia which was produced as both as Type One and Type Two issue. Let’s take a look at some of the transitional coins that are available to collectors who are considering this approach.

A pair of gold coins which is not a transition would be an 1861-S and 1861-S Paquet Reverse double eagle. This is the case because the 1861-S Paquet reverse was not used in any other year. An 1866-S No Motto reverse and an 1866-S With Motto are a transitional pair because the newer reverse was used in the following year(s).

1. GOLD DOLLARS

The Liberty Head gold dollar was produced from 1849 through 1889. There were a total of three types and there are a few interesting possibilities for the transitional gold coins collector.

In 1854, the Philadelphia, Dahlonega and San Francisco mint produced gold dollars with the Type One design. During the same year, a Type Two gold dollar was made at the Philadelphia mint as well. Both the 1854 Type One and Type Two gold dollars are common, although the latter becomes scarce and expensive in the higher Uncirculated grades. A transitional pairing of the 1854-P Type One and Type Two dollars could easily be assembled in MS63 to MS64 grades.

In 1856, there was a Type Two gold dollar made at the San Francisco mint and well as Type Three issue at Philadelphia and Dahlonega. These are not transitional gold coins issues, in the strictest sense of the word, as they were made during the same year but at different mints.

2. QUARTER EAGLES

Production of this denomination began in 1796 and continued all the way until 1929. During this period, there were a number of transitional issues.

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The first transitional pair of quarter eagles occurs in 1796 when both the No Stars and the With Stars issues were made. A total of 963 examples of the No Stars were struck and just 432 of the With Stars. While the more common of the two, the No Stars is better known and considered more desirable by many collectors. The 1796 With Stars is a very rare coin in all grades and is generally seen in lower grades than its No Stars counterpart. This transitional pair will be the most expensive part of such a set with nice AU-Uncirculated examples costing at least $250,000-300,000 and possibly more.

While the 1796 transitional gold coins set will be the most expensive quarter eagles in this set, the rarest coin will be the 1834 With Motto, which is the final year of issue for the Capped Head Left (reduced size) type struck from 1829 to 1834. There were 4,000 of these struck but nearly all were melted and today an estimated 20 or so exist. Later in the year, the better-known Classic Head design was introduced and the first-year-of-issue 1834 is common in grades up to MS63 and sometimes obtainable in MS64. A transitional pair of 1834 quarter eagles could, in theory, be obtained for less than $100,000 but the earlier issue from this year might take years of waiting to locate. No other transitional pairs exist for the quarter eagle denomination.

3. THREE DOLLAR GOLD
No transitional pairs exist for the three dollar gold piece.

4. HALF EAGLES
The half eagle denomination began in 1795 and ended in 1929. It is fertile ground for the transitional gold coins collector with a number of interesting pairs extent, especially during the first few years of production.

The 1795 half eagle exists with both the Small Eagle reverse (employed on this denomination from 1795 through 1798) and the Heraldic Eagle reverse (used from 1795 until 1807). The 1795 Small Eagle is a reasonably common coin by the standards of early half eagles and it is, as one might expect, extremely popular. The 1795 Heraldic Eagle is considerably scarcer, especially in higher grades, although it is more obtainable. A nice transitional pair of 1795 half eagles will run $100,000 or so but, in my opinion, it is one of the most visually arresting contrasts in all of American coinage.

Another transitional pair exists in 1797. Two different 1797 Small Eagle half eagles are known; the 15 star obverse and the 16 star obverse. Both are very rare although the former is more difficult to find and is not often offered for sale. There is a 1797/5 Heraldic Eagle known which is also very rare although it is at least obtainable; two other 1797 Heraldic eagle varieties (the 15 star and the 16 star non-overdate) which are unique and located in the Smithsonian. A transitional set of 1797 half eagles would be expensive ($200,000+) and hard to assemble but it would make an exceptional item and would be a highlight of this set.

In theory, a 1798 transitional set could be assembled as well but the Small Eagle is exceedingly rare with just eight known; the last example to sell at auction (a PCGS EF40) brought $264,500 back in 2000. The Heraldic Eagle variety from this year is reasonably common. It is possible that this set could be assembled but it would take deep pockets and considerable good fortune to even have a shot as obtaining a 1798 Small Eagle in today’s rarity-conscious market.

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The next transitional set in the half eagle denomination is the 1807 Bust Right and 1807 Bust Left. Both issues are reasonably common and a set could be put together, if so desired, in grades as high as MS64 to MS65. For $20,000-30,000, a more reasonably price alternative would include two nice AU coins.

A very interesting and very rare transitional pair occurs in 1829 with the Large Date (Large Diameter) and Small Date (Small Diameter). Both of these issues are very rare and generally trade once every few years. We’re talking in excess of $1 million dollars for this pair and even having the money is no assurance that a set could be assembled.

A really interesting pair of transitional pairs exists for the 1834 half eagles. The Capped Head Left reduced diameter type began in 1829 and continued until 1834. During this year, both Plain 4 and Crosslet 4 varieties. Both are quite rare with the latter being harder to find. Later in the year, the new Classic Head variety was introduced and, again, both Plain 4 and Crosslet 4 coins are known with the latter being considerably rarer. It would be difficult but not impossible to put together this “pair of pairs” with the two Capped Head coins in AU-MS grades, the Plain 4 Classic Head in a grade as high as MS64 and the Crosslet 4 Classic Head in the lower MS grades.

The next group of transitional pair half eagles occur in 1842 and 1843. 1842 Philadelphia half eagles are known with Small Letters and Large Letters reverse varieties. The former is the type of 1839-1842 while the latter began in 1842 and continued all the way through 1866. Both are scarce and undervalued with the Large letters being the rarer of the two. A pair could be assembled in nice AU grades for $10,000-15,000.

The same transitional pair exists for 1842-C half eagles. The 1842-C Small Date is very rare in all grades while the Large Date is more available. An EF-AU pair would cost $20,000-25,000 to assemble.

With the 1842-D half eagles, the exact opposite rarity pattern is seen. The Small Date is the more obtainable (although it is very rare in Uncirculated) while the Large Date is rare and almost impossible to find above AU55. A nice AU pair could be assembled for $25,000-35,000.

This transition occurred for New Orleans half eagles in 1843-O. The Small Letters is slightly scarcer than the Large Letters but both are reasonably easy to find in EF and AU grades. A pair in AU could be purchased for less than $10,000.

The next transitional pair for half eagles occurs in 1866 when the San Francisco mint made 9,000 No Motto coins and 34,920 With Motto coins. The former is extremely scarce while the latter is scarce but a bit more obtainable. The 1866-S No Motto is seldom found above AU50 while the With Motto is seldom found above AU53 to AU55. A pair of AU examples would cost around $20,000.

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The final transitional pair for half eagles occurs in 1908 when both the Liberty Head and Indian Head types were struck. The 1908 Liberty Head was made only at the Philadelphia mint and it is common in grades up to MS64. The Indian Head type was made in 1908 at Philadelphia, Denver and San Francisco. It’s possible to assemble a 1908-P half eagle set in MS65 for less than $20,000.

5. EAGLES
The first transitional pair for the ten dollar eagle denomination occurs in 1797. The first coin struck this year was the Small eagle reverse of which only 3,615 were made. This is a rare coin in all grades and a very rare one in AU55 and above. Later this year, the large Eagle reverse was adapted and 10,940 were made. This issue is much easier to locate and it is sometimes seen in MS62 or even MS63 grades. An AU set would cost at least 175,000-200,000 but it would be easier to assemble than the similarly dated half eagles (see above).

A less obvious but still important transitional pair occurs in 1839 with the Large Letters and Small Letters reverses. The former, which is the more common, employs the same size lettering as seen on the 1838. The latter, which is far rarer, uses the same size lettering as seen on the 1840 (and onwards). It is possible to assemble this set in AU for $25,000 or so but finding a nice 1839 Small Letters reverse will prove challenging.

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In 1866, the San Francisco mint struck No Motto and With Motto eagles. The No Motto coins had a mintage of 8,500 and are very scarce in all grades. The With Motto coins are more available but only 11,500 were struck. Both issues are extremely hard to find above AU50. A nice EF-AU pair would cost $25,000-35,000.

A potential transitional gold coin collector will have much to keep him busy with 1907 and 1908 eagles. In 1907, three mints (Philadelphia, Denver and San Francisco) made Liberty Head eagles. Later that year, the new Indian Head design by Augustus St. Gaudens was introduced.

There are actually three distinct types of 1907 Indian Head eagle: the Wire Edge, the Rolled Edge and the No Motto. The latter is by far the most common although it is probably the least numismatically interesting. Most transitional collectors purchase a 1907-P Liberty Head in MS63 to MS65 grades and a 1907 No Motto in MS63 to MS64. Adding the Wire Edge is a nice touch but it should be noted that a nice Uncirculated example runs around $50,000. And, in the parameters we discussed earlier in this article, these are not a true transitional pair as the Wire Edge design was not fully adapted in 1908.

The final transitional pair for this denomination occurs, as a “pair of pairs”, in 1908. Both the Philadelphia and Denver mints struck No Motto eagles followed by With Motto issues. None of these are rare in grades below MS65 and a nice MS64 set is an accomplishment which is readily attainable.

6. DOUBLE EAGLES
The best known transitional Liberty Head double eagle pair is the 1866-S No Motto and With Motto issues. Only 12,000 or so of the former were produced and it is a rare issue whose price has soared in the last decade. The 1866-S With Motto is much more available although it can be challenging to locate in any Uncirculated grade. An About Uncirculated pair will run at least $50,000 and possibly more if the collector is fussy about quality for the No Motto.

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In 1907, there was a radical change in the design of the double eagle and, as with the eagle from this year, there are pieces which use the old Liberty Head design (from Philadelphia, Denver and San Francisco) and the new St. Gaudens design. There are two important varieties of St. Gaudens double eagle from 1907: the High Relief which uses Roman numerals for the date and the Arabic numerals. These were all struck at the Philadelphia. An ideal transitional set, in my opinion, would include a 1907-P Liberty Head double eagle and a 1907 Arabic numerals. A slightly more advanced set could include a High Relief as well. The two coin set is easy to assemble in MS64 for around $5,000.

A second transitional set occurs in 1908 when the motto IN GOD WE TRUST was added to the reverse of the double eagle. The 1908-P and 1908-D issues exist with a No Motto reverse; the same two dates were made with the With Motto reverse, as well as a 1908-S.

 

November 5, 2018

Divers Searching for ‘Extremely Rare’ Gold Coins on 1840 Shipwreck off South Carolina

There’s a mysterious spot about 20 miles off South Carolina where centuries-old gold coins have been found strewn across the ocean floor for decades.

goldcoins3It’s believed to be the final resting place of the SS North Carolina, a steamship that historians say sank in 1840 under bizarre circumstances.

In November — 178 years after the ship went down — an expedition is being launched to “reconfirm with absolute proof” the wreck’s identity and unravel the mystery of why the North Carolina seemingly sank itself by heading straight into the path of another ship.

But make no mistake: It’s the stories of gold coins the are driving the expedition.

Project partners Blue Water Ventures International and Endurance Exploration Group are convinced hundreds of highly prized gold and silver coins are still on the wreck, promising a big pay off.

The SS North Carolina sank so quickly that few of its affluent passengers could gather their belongings before boarding a rescue ship, say the organizers. Among the passengers was a businessman who reportedly lost $20,000 in gold pieces, says Blue Water Ventures International.

“You can imagine what they would be worth now,” said Keith Webb of Blue Water Ventures. “Some of these coins are extremely rare and would help fill in gaps when it comes to the history of American coins. We know of 10 gold pieces that were recovered at the site years ago, and they sold for $70,000 each.”

Artifacts could start coming up in the next few weeks, as divers map the site and do an archaeological survey, Webb said. However, the bulk of the discoveries will likely be in May or June, the traditional diving season, he said.

The site, known among scuba divers as “The Copper Pot Wreck,” sits just over 50 feet down, about 20 miles of Murrells Inlet, Webb said.

For the past year, Blue Water Ventures and Endurance Exploration have been recovering artifacts from another Carolinas shipwreck, The Pulaski, which sank in 1838. Five hundred gold and silver coins have been found on the Pulaski, including some of the “oldest and rarest United States gold coins ever found on a shipwreck,” says Webb.

“The SS North Carolina is of interest because of its similarity to the Pulaski,” he says. “We believe discoveries similar to those being made on the Pulaski will also be found on the North Carolina.”

Divers have been plucking artifacts off the North Carolina for years, leading to widespread tales of buried treasure. In 1996, items found included 18 U.S. gold Quarter Eagles, half dollar denomination coins and two ornate gold pocket watches, reported Blue Water Ventures.

The SS North Carolina was sailing from Wilmington to Charleston when it collided with the Steamship Governor Dudley in July of 1840, according to the North Carolina Shipwrecks Blog.

“The Dudley…(hit) her amidships, between the ladies’ and gentlemen’s cabins with a splintering bow that tore four feet from the Dudley’s bow and cut the Carolina almost in two,” says the blog. “Within 10 minutes, the North Carolina settled to her decks and soon disappeared.”

The passengers were rescued by the Dudley, but all “possessions and the cargo on board were lost,” according to a 1997 report by MAREX International. The 56 passengers included “about a dozen senators and congressmen,” WPDE reported in 2012.

Another mystery waiting to be solved, says Webb, is what became of the large cargo of government mail that went down with the ship. Some of the packages may have held valuables, he says.

“What was in those packages?” Webb wonders. “We don’t know, but we’d like to find out…Maybe it was more than just paper, which would be long gone.”

Click link to video below:

https://www.charlotteobserver.com/latest-news/article196899419.html

September 10, 2018

Market Strategies and Asset Allocation – Billionaires Buying Rare Coins

https://coinweek.com/coins/coin-collecting-strategies-2/market-strategies-and-asset-allocation-billionaires-buying-rare-coins/

What is motivating ‘smart money’ to turn to numismatics?

One of most interesting and impactful developments in numismatics in recent years has been the activity and market strategies of a few incredibly affluent collectors. These collectors spend more on individual coins than your average collector spends in a lifetime and have coin market strategies.

At least three of these mega-collectors have spent over $100 million on their rare coin collections. We have all read the headlines about how rare coins at the high end of the market have been selling in record numbers, and at sometimes-record prices. Individuals, such as the three mentioned above and others, are the primary reason.

These so-called mega-collectors are not just buying million-dollars coins. Their market strategies is to actively building sets of United States, World and Ancient coins. They want the finest available and will spend to get them.

market strategies

These collectors have been very fortunate in the last several years, as quite a few legacy collections have been offered at auction. These are collections individuals spent many decades building. Collections such as that of Eric Newman saw coins offered that had not been available since the 1930s. Many individual coins in amazing condition sold for stunning prices as a result of competition among these super rich collectors.

Everyone likes to know what so-called “smart money” is doing in the way of investments. Stock market pundits listen and parse every statement from the “Oracle of Omaha,” Warren Buffett, looking for clues to his investment strategy. There is little doubt that these individuals who have invested vast sums in the rare coin market are “smart.”  and have market strategies. I have met a couple of these folks and I can safely state they are driven, super-smart, and think long-term.

The question is: Why have they invested so heavily into the “hobby of kings” – numismatics?

After speaking with one of these collectors, and others who know them, one common theme is a love of history. All seem to really appreciate the tangible links to history that numismatics provides. Whether it is a coin issued by Alexander the Great, or a coin that had the personal involvement of George Washington, the historical aspect provides a strong magnet of interest.

Rare coins are closely tied to many of the most important historical milestones of our country. Also, the financial history of our nation is closely reflected in these artifacts as well, which is, for obvious reasons, of interest to the extremely wealthy.

There is also little doubt that these individuals think rare coins are an underpriced asset class. It would be hard to imagine anyone spending these huge sums on rare coins unless they thought it was a good investment. They may be buying the coins due to a love of history, but like all serious collectors, they hope their financial commitment to the hobby will prove to one day be a great investment.

There is ample reason to think rare coins are underpriced at current levels. Truly great coins sell for millions of dollars, but truly great art sells for hundreds of millions. One super rich collector stated that he could purchase a world-class coin collection, but a world-class art collection is beyond the reach of even the average billionaire. It’s an interesting perspective that only the super-rich would ponder.

 

Described as “the discovery of a lifetime,” Numismatic Guaranty Corporation authenticated and graded as NGC XF 45 the fourth-known 1854-S Half Eagle.

Another factor is that even with the increased demand from the mega-collectors, some iconic coins have been selling for surprisingly low prices recently. The finest known 1913 Liberty Nickel sold at auction last month for around $4.5 million. As stunning as this sounds for a rare coin, it last sold for $5 million over ten years ago.

The recent discovery of an 1854-S Half Eagle generated tremendous press, but the coin sold for just a little over $2 million. This is well below what many thought the coin would bring (though its buyers quickly resold it after the auction, presumably for a profit). The 1854-S Half Eagle is a regular issue rarity, and one of only two in private hands. Other examples of market weakness among super expensive coins can be found by reviewing recent auction results.

I believe that one of the biggest factors in the interest in rare coins of the super-rich, has been the incredible increases in net worth among the wealthy. The stock market, real estate and business in general are at all-time highs in many cases. One wealthy collector stated to me that he was selling assets that he thought were over-priced and buying assets that he thought were underpriced – rare coins. You can also factor in that interest rates remain low, and it is impossible to invest money in fixed income at favorable rates.

Finally, as incredible as at seems, these collectors also like competing with one another for having the best sets in the set-registry programs. One collector’s stated goal is to surpass Eliasberg as the number one collection of all time. This is ambitious, to say the least, but there is little doubt to his commitment.

When top pop, finest-known examples of even mundane coins show up at auction, the prices realized can stun everyone. These serious collectors love the competition and recognition that set-registry collecting provides. The average collector may think this has little to do with their collecting activity, but as stated above, it’s always good to observe the activity of “smart money.” The gigantic sums these collectors have infused into the hobby in recent years has impacted nearly every part of the rare coin market.

Many wonder how the rare coin market would look if these folks had not fallen in love with coins. I hope their investments prove to be wise, and other wealthy individuals follow their lead.

coin market strategies

May 9, 2018

Rare pieces cut a path ahead for coins

http://www.numismaticnews.net/article/rare-pieces-cut-path-ahead-coins

Recent headlines suggest there are a significant number of truly rare collectible coins beginning to enter the market. These coins have not been available for years.

While the value of many of these attractive and historically choice coins is likely beyond the means of most readers, it is interesting to take note of their sudden availability.CMAG-0501.jpg

Their arrival on the market is important, since one of the reasons fresh material has not been plentiful has been the uncertainties of the collecting market. Owners would rather not face uncertainty. They wait until they are fairly sure they will get the total value out of their heirloom pieces.

While the jury will be out for some time regarding whether these special coins will realize the prices their owners might desire, it does suggest the owners of coins that are held in strong hands may believe the market is finally ready to absorb them at strong prices. That is good news for everybody. Confidence in the marketplace is necessary to build a rising trend line.

It is important to note as well that these coins are appearing in high-profile auctions and not over the counter. This reinforces the impression that auctions are the best means of selling any numismatic item.

One question yet to be answered is whether buyers will be dealers looking for inventory or top-shelf coin collectors. Let’s watch as this drama unfolds.

The balance of the scarce to rare market segment is currently flat lined, while any coin whose primary value is based on its precious metal content has once again declined, although modestly, as gold and silver failed to rally despite recent stock and bond market uncertainty.

April 24, 2018

Ten Reasons Why the Rare Coin Market is Looking Up

https://coinweek.com/us-coins/the-rare-coin-market-is-looking-up/

Nearly everyone who is deeply involved with numismatics can attest to the fact that the rare coin market has been soft or depressed in the last few years. Coin prices for many series have drifted downward, some to historic lows. There are a lot of coins that can be purchased for prices last seen in the 1980s. I have highlighted a few of these series in recent months, and plan to discuss several more in the coming weeks and months.

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Despite the lower prices for many series and issues, the prices for extreme rarities and grades have been solid, if not higher. In the last five years, a lot of great coins brought record prices at auction. The demand for mega coins far outstripped the limited supply. A few big payers have had a tremendous impact, competing with each other to build registry sets of the finest known coins.

Other collectible fields have seen similar demand for the top end of the market. The extreme wealth of some Americans has greatly benefited everything from fine art to vintage automobiles.

These mega coins have very little impact on the average collector or dealer. I would love to sell million-dollar coins, but they seldom are offered privately, and usually sell at auction. Coins in this price range are only fantasies for most collectors. They can be fun to read about, but owning them would be impossible for all but a handful of well-heeled collectors.

I have been following rare coin trends for decades, starting in the mid-1970s. Until recent years, the rare coin market has been much more volatile. In January of 1980, a Gem Proof Three Cent Nickel sold for about $2,500 USD. A few months later, they had crashed to under $500. This up-and-down cycle for rare coins played out many times over the next 30 years. The lowest point in the rare coin market that I have personally experienced was in the summer of 1982. Nearly every major rare coin dealer was broke or nearly so. By 1989, the market had roared back.

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Starting around the year 2000, the prices and the market for rare coins seemed to stabilize a great deal. I believe the invention of the internet had much to do with this. The market for rare coins was spread out significantly due to access, and the supply of rare coins didn’t overwhelm demand, as it had in the past. The access to numismatic information also greatly helped the hobby. Today’s collectors have far more tools than collectors of the past to make purchase decisions.

The current market malady started several years ago after the financial crisis. Simply put, the supply of rare coins outpaced the demand. A lot of great collections entered the market, with mega sales of the Newman and Gardner collections being just a couple of examples. The stock market also performed amazingly well during this time period and a lot of money was allocated to that asset instead of to numismatics.

The point of this article is that I feel we may have seen the worst of the recent downturn in rare coin prices. There are quite a few indicators than have given me hope that the lows of this recent market downturn are behind us:

Coin show activity: I attend almost every mid-size and major coin show in the country. I have been doing this for decades, and this has given me great insight on the pulse of the market. Nearly every coin show I have attended in recent months has been much busier. There is an actual buzz on the bourse floor that anyone who frequents the coin show circuit would recognize. Sales are much stronger across the board for everything, with the exception of unattractive material.

Rare coins are harder to find: There are considerably fewer exciting coins to be found on the bourse floors than in previous months. Everyone is complaining about the lack of fresh material.

Demand has increased: Nearly every large retail company in the country is scrambling to find coins for their operations. All of these web retail sites and telemarketing operations are having a hard time acquiring coins for the increased sales.
Collectors have become more active: The stock market slide in recent months may have convinced a lot of people that it’s a good idea to diversify. There is clearly a lot of fresh money coming into the market.
Auction prices have been strong: Recent auctions have been very strong for attractive collector’s coins. A few specialty sales, such as the recent Heritage auction of $10 Dollar Liberties, have seen astounding prices.
Generic gold coins have finally hit rock bottom: Prices could not have gone down much more, with lower-grade $20 Double Eagle gold coins finally ending up in the melting pot. In recent weeks, there has been a smattering of increased premiums and attention to this decimated part of the market.
ANA membership has increased: While President of the ANA from 2016-2017, I tried everything in my power to increase membership. Sadly, it would not budge. I took stabilization as a victory. In the last several months, membership has increased about 5%!
Young people have discovered the hobby: Contrary to what you may read from some pessimists, there are actually a lot of young people who love rare coins. Many very talented young folks have chosen numismatics as a career in the last few years. A lot of them love the combination of numismatics and modern technology. You old guys reading this had better watch out!
Modern mint product sales have fallen: The US Mint sales of its bullion and commemorative programs have fallen for the last few years. A lot of the attention given to this part of the market by large rare coin companies is now being diverted to vintage numismatics.
Numismatics has discovered social media: Several months ago, I wrote an article about the Facebook group Coin Dealers Helping Coin Dealers. The group has continued to grow and is now the largest dealer network in the United States with about 800 members. A lot of business is being conducted by the group every day. It turns out that mobile devices and social media could be a major driving force in the hobby in coming years.

The future is never guaranteed for any hobby or business, but from my observations, numismatics is poised for greatness in the next few years!

April 10, 2018

PBS Video: Gold Fever & The Bechtler Mint

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click below for movie:

http://www.pbs.org/video/gold-fever-and-bechtler-mint-gold-fever-and-bechtler-mint/

During the Colonial Era gold in North Carolina was only found in trace amounts.  It wasn’t until the year 1799 that substantial success was achieved, by accident, in Cabarrus County.  The first substantial piece was found by twelve year old Conrad Reed who was fishing in Meadow Creek with his brother and sister.  He withdrew from the small stream a shiny yellow substance that he assumed to be some type of metal.  He brought the nugget home to his father, John Reed, who upon examination declared it as an unknown metal and put it to use as a door stop for two years.  In 1802 he took the nugget to a jeweler in town who immediately recognized the “metal” and its value.  The jeweler converted the nugget into a gold bar measuring roughly 8 inches long and asked Mr. Reed if he would sell it.  Mr. Reed, not knowing the value of the gold bar, sold it to the jeweler for $3.50.  In time Mr. Reed found several pieces of gold along the creek bed and in 1803 he found a piece weighing in at twenty-eight pounds.  The creek was rich in gold and in the year 1831 the veins of the mine were discovered.  In 1848 a sketch of the mine was made by a miner, Colonel George Barnhardt, and he declared the Reed Gold Mine to be the first in the United States.

Meanwhile in 1825 several mines were opened within a twenty mile radius of Charlotte. Two of the more significant mines were the Rudisill Mine of Count Ravafanoli, which brought experienced miners from Italy and other parts of Europe and the St. Catherine Mine opened by Samual McComb. These two mines were the most profitable with assays ranging from $24.80 to $72.41 per ton. Being rich in ore, the Rudisill mine was still in operation by the end of the Civil War.

It soon became essential that the miners have a local facility for processing the substantial quantities of gold flowing through North Carolina. Unfortunately the U.S. Mint was opposed to the idea and it was several years before a branch mint was established; this delay provided and excellent opportunity for private minters.

In 1829 German born Christopher Bechtler, Sr., arrived in New York City with his son August and his nephew, Christopher. A year later they bought a tract of land in Rutherford County establishing themselves in the local community as jewelers and watchmakers. In 1831 the miners’ plight brought enough business to the Bechtler’s that it resulted in a private mint and assay office. The Bechtler mint cast dies for $1.00, $2.50 and $5.00 pieces. The coins were noted for being 20 carats fine, or 2 carats below the US standard. Bechtler coinage of 1831 bore the words “South Carolina” and “gold”. Coins appearing later than 1834 bore the words “North Carolina Gold”, “Carolina Gold”, and “Georgia Gold”. Bechtler soon had a reputation as a “man of competent science and skill to assay and bring the gold of the mines to a standard value, in the form of coin…he is a man of the strictest honesty and singleness of purpose.” His popularity and reputation allowed for almost ten years of coinage.

Bechtler, Sr. operated the mint until his death in 1842 and was succeeded by his son August who was later succeeded by his nephew Christopher. Unfortunately neither August or Christopher had the pristine reputation of Sr., as their coins were often underweight or of dubious fineness.

Bechtler gold coins were minted eighteen years before the first striking at Philadelphia in 1849 and were so well accepted for commerce that they became a standard for currency. During the Civil War the monetary obligations of the Confederacy were specified as payable in “Bechtler gold” rather than Union, Confederate, or State currency.

Today, Bechtler coins are rare and command high prices, especially those minted prior to the Coinage Act of 1834 which increased the value of gold by more than six percent which resulting in a massive melting of gold coins, Bechtler’s included.